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发布时间:2018-10-29      点击数量:

讲座题目: From Poverty to Prosperity: Explaining China's Growth

主讲人:   杨光普    博士

          国务院发展研究中心助理研究员

          新加坡国立大学经济学博士

          李承健  博士

          国务院发展研究中心助理研究员

讲座时间:2018112日(周五)上午9

讲座地点: 东荣大厦A804

主办单位: 吉林大学经济学院

主讲人简介:

Yang Guangpu, an assistant research fellow at the Development Research Center of the State Council of the People’s Republic of China, holds a PhD degree in economics from the National University of Singapore. He has published a number of papers and reports about economic growth, international economics, financial crisis, and macroeconomic policy coordination. He led the translation of the book “The G20: Evolution, Interrelationships, Documentation” by Peter Hajnal. Recently, he is also working on industrial policies and competition policies.

 

报告摘要:This paper proposes an institutional analytic framework to explain the path an economy takes from poverty to prosperity.Close examination of the development history of China since the Xinhai Revolution in 1911 under this framework indicates that it is the combination of the unbiased single-peaked governance and an access-opening economy that makes the high-speed growth of China over 40 years. Furthermore, a political economic general equilibrium model under the analytic framework is sketched and it is shown that continuous economic growth can be cultivated by either unbiased single-peaked or compromise-oriented multi-peaked political governance, as long as political cohesion and common actions can be achieved and economic accessibility is guaranteed. Based on a panel data set, we provide strong econometric evidence supporting the conjecture that a society's cohesion can strengthen its economic growth, as can its degree of economic accessibility. But we cannot reject our third conjecture, that the single- vs multi-peaked character of political governance is a neutral variable in economic growth.